Nov 2, 2004 Exit Poll

STAFF: Precinct:____________________ Congressional District:__________Questionnaire #:_____

Political Science Project

Anne Arundel Community College

Exit Poll: November 2, 2004 General Election

Cases=393

→1.0 What is your PARTY REGISTRATION:

	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
1. Democrat	35	9	64	58	8
2. Republican	48	79	12	20	81
3. Independent or unaffiliated	16	11	21	21	11

2.0 FOR WHOM DID YOU VOTE FOR PRESIDENT?

Candidate	Circle One
George W. Bush (R)	55
John F. Kerry (D)	44
Ralph Nader	1
Other	0

3.0 How STRONG was your SUPPORT for your Presidential candidate?

	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
(1) Very Strong	68	70	67	67	73
(2) Somewhat Strong	24	25	23	25	24
(3) Not Very Strong	8	5	10	8	4

4.0 How important were each of the following CANDIDATE QUALITIES in shaping your choice for President?

Candidate Quality	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
4.1 Has a vision for the future	95	96	94	95	97
4.2 Stands up for what he believes in	93	96	88	89	98
4.3 Will tell the country the truth	95	93	97	97	94
4.4 Best Represents (for Democrats - Liberal values) (for Republicans - Conservative values)	68	69	68	70	69
4.5 Will maintain a balance between the Executive and Legislative branches	76	79	71	72	78
4.6 Has a wife who I respect or admire	47	62	25	34	62
4.7 Has experience in Washington	66	67	64	65	70
4.8 Not too extreme	66	63	72	73	60
4.9 Cares about working people	91	92	92	94	91
4.10 Identifies with religious conservatives	46	61	25	30	64
4.11 Has views similar to my own	89	89	87	87	90
4. 12 I really disliked the opponent	59	50	70	68	52

5.0 Which ISSUES were important in shaping your choice for President? (M=Mikulski; P=Pipkin for this and subsequent tables)

ISSUE	Overall	Bush	Kerry	M	P	ISSUE	Overall	Bush	Kerry	M	P
5.1 National defense	95	96	90	92	95	5.9 Environment	72	62	82	81	62
5.2 War in Iraq	89	89	89	89	91	5.10 Social Security	77	70	81	82	70
5.3 Foreign trade	65	68	64	66	68	5.11 Abortion	55	51	64	58	55
5.4 War on terror	91	96	84	85	96	5.12 Gay marriage	42	43	43	43	45
5.5 Economy or jobs	90	86	93	95	83	5.13 Education	83	87	80	82	85
5.6 Health care	78	68	93	88	70	5.14 Crime	77	84	72	73	86
5.7 Federal budget deficit	73	63	86	81	66	5.15 Cares about God	48	69	28	36	65
5.8 Taxes	75	78	75	72	81	5.16 Gun control	53	52	67	61	58

6.0 FOR WHOM did you vote for US SENATE and HOUSE of REPRESENATIVES?

SENATE	O	B	K	HOUSE	O	B	K	M	P
Democrat (Barbara Mikulski)	53	21	89	Democrat	40	15	72	67	13
Republican (E.J. Pipkin)	45	78	7	Republican	55	78	25	31	80
Other candidate or no one	2	1	4	Other candidate or no one	4	6	3	2	7

7.0 For whom did you vote for CIRCUIT COURT JUDGE (circle up to 3) and WHY?

	O	B	K	→Which of the following were important in guiding your choice for judge?	O	B	K
7.1 Stephen P. Beatty	17	70	28		O	B	K
7.2 David S. Bruce	34	41	59	1. I wanted to keep the existing judges in their positions	41	30	56
7.3 Paul Goetzke	37	71	29	2. I wanted to choose judges from my party	41	40	41
7.4 Paul Harris	34	75	25	3. I was contacted or otherwise knew which candidates represented my party	34	37	27
7.5 Michele D. Jaklitsch	39	46	53	4. I knew a lot about the candidates and voted based on their experience and judgment	42	49	44
7.6 Rodney C. Warren	29	53	64	5. I didn’t know much, but voted anyway	44	43	40
7.7 I didn’t vote for judge	8	52	41	6. Other – describe

Candidate Vote and Demographics

Ideology	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
Conservative	36	86	14	17	80
Moderate	45	50	48	59	38
Liberal	20	9	90	89	7

Gender	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
Female	50	55	46	57	42
Male	50	54	44	46	49

Age	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
18-29	20	43	57	63	32
30-44	31	62	38	40	56
45-59	30	51	47	53	45
60+	19	60	40	53	48

Income	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
Under $30K	11	41	59	67	26
30-50	14	51	46	46	50
50-75	19	50	48	49	48
75-100	16	58	41	42	52
Over 100	36	58	42	55	46

Education	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
No HS degree	1
HS degree	12	71	28	38	59
Some college	33	59	38	52	47
College degree	29	57	43	45	49
Postgraduate	24	39	62	62	36

Religion	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
Nonpracticing	13	29	71	74	26
Protestant	29	63	37	40	58
Catholic	33	59	40	49	46
Evangelical/fundamtl.	12	67	31	43	54
Other	12	37	59	66	32

Race	Overall	Bush	Kerry	Mikulski	Pipkin
Black	6	23	77	73	20
White	84	58	41	49	49
Hispanic	3	12	77	59	24
Asian	2	75	25	38	63
Other	5	69	31	48	44

Demographics by Party

Gender

PARTY	GENDER
		Bush	Kerry	M	P	m-k
DEM	FEMALE	14	86	93	55	+7
	MALE	18	79	80	18	+1
REP	FEMALE	93	7	22	77	+15
	MALE	85	15	21	78	+6
IND	FEMALE	47	53	68	32	+13
	MALE	35	61	63	32	+2

Issues by Candidate (sorted by Bush %)

PARTY						M-K	M-P
		Bush	Kerry	M	P
DEM
	Deficit NI	37	57	72	24	15	48
	Health Care NI	31	69	77	15	8	62
	Gay marriage I	19	81	80	18	-1	62
	Iraq I	19	82	86	12	4	74
	Education I	18	81	87	11	6	76
	Terror I	18	82	87	11	5	76
	Environment I	16	83	88	12	5	76
	Taxes NI	16	80	86	14	6	72
	Economy Imp	15	83	89	10	6	79
	Abortion I	15	85	86	12	1	74
	Abortion NI	15	82	86	11	4	75
	Taxes I	15	85	88	9	3	79
	Social Security I	15	84	88	12	4	76
	Social Security NI	15	85	80	8	-5	72
	Economy NI	14	85	77	15	-8	62
	Health Care I	14	85	88	10	3	78
	Deficit I	12	88	90	8	2	82
	Gay marriage NI	11	87	91	7	4	84
	Environment NI	8	92	79	4	-13	75
	Iraq NI	6	94	94	0	0	94
	Education NI	0	100	85	15	-15	70
	Terror NI	0	93	89	7	-4	82
REP
	Taxes NI	98	2	24	74	22	-50
	Economy NI	97	3	22	76	19	-54
	Health Care NI	97	3	17	81	14	-64
	Iraq NI	96	4	33	67	29	-34
	Environment NI	95	5	19	80	14	-61
	Deficit NI	95	5	17	82	12	-65
	Abortion NI	94	6	22	76	16	-54
	Social Security NI	94	6	16	84	10	-68
	Education I	93	7	18	80	11	-62
	Gay marriage NI	91	9	22	76	13	-54
	Terror I	91	10	21	78	11	-57
	Gay marriage I	90	10	18	82	8	-64
	Iraq I	89	12	20	79	8	-59
	Social Security I	89	11	22	76	11	-54
	Economy Imp	88	12	21	78	9	-57
	Taxes I	88	12	21	78	9	-57
	Environment I	87	13	22	77	9	-55
	Abortion I	87	13	18	81	5	-63
	Health Care I	86	14	23	76	9	-53
	Deficit I	86	14	24	75	10	-51
	Terror NI	80	20	20	80	0	-60
	Education NI	76	24	29	71	5	-42

IND
	Health Care NI	59	35	50	38	15	12
	Deficit NI	57	43	67	33	24	34
	Social Security NI	56	44	54	42	10	12
	Abortion NI	55	42	60	35	18	25
	Iraq NI	54	46	39	54	-7	-15
	Taxes I	44	53	59	37	6	22
	Gay marriage NI	43	55	54	41	-1	13
	Economy Imp	41	57	69	27	12	42
	Education I	41	56	60	36	4	24
	Terror I	41	56	58	38	2	20
	Terror NI	40	60	100	0	40	100
	Environment I	39	58	67	30	9	37
	Environment NI	39	61	56	39	-5	17
	Gay marriage I	39	58	73	24	15	49
	Iraq I	37	60	68	29	8	39
	Health Care I	36	63	67	31	4	36
	Taxes NI	36	64	71	25	7	46
	Deficit I	34	63	62	33	-1	29
	Educaiton NI	33	67	83	17	16	66
	Social Security I	32	64	68	29	4	39
	Economy NI	30	70	30	70	-40	-40
	Abortion I	27	71	66	32	-5	34