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Nov
5 Exit Poll (Severna Park, Crofton, Annapolis, Severn,
Glen Burnie, Pasadena, Gambrills
N=236) |
PARTY
REGISTRATION |
Overall |
Townsend |
Ehrlich |
O-B |
|
PARTY REGISTRATION |
Overall |
Owens |
Bissett |
O-B |
|
Democrat |
|
40 |
79 |
18 |
61 |
|
Democrat |
|
40 |
62 |
15 |
47 |
|
Republican |
|
46 |
7 |
68 |
-61 |
|
Republican |
|
46 |
23 |
71 |
-48 |
|
Independent |
|
10 |
11 |
10 |
1 |
|
Independent |
|
10 |
12 |
9 |
3 |
|
Other |
|
3 |
3 |
4 |
-1 |
|
Other |
|
3 |
2 |
3 |
-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
PARTY
Identity |
|
|
|
|
Strong
Dem |
|
23 |
60 |
2 |
58 |
|
County Executive Vote |
Overall |
Townsend |
Ehrlich |
O-B |
|
Weak
Dem |
|
19 |
19 |
9 |
10 |
|
Owens |
|
53 |
90 |
32 |
58 |
|
Neutral |
|
15 |
15 |
23 |
-8 |
|
Bissett |
|
45 |
10 |
65 |
-55 |
|
Weak
Rep |
|
5 |
5 |
11 |
-6 |
|
Didn't vote |
|
2 |
0 |
3 |
-3 |
|
Strong
Rep |
|
1 |
1 |
56 |
-55 |
|
|
|
|
|
County Exec Issues |
Overall |
Owens |
Bissett |
O-B |
|
Issues |
|
|
|
|
Seniors |
|
24 |
30 |
15 |
15 |
|
Gun
Control |
|
58 |
72 |
51 |
21 |
|
Environment |
|
23 |
32 |
14 |
18 |
|
Abortion |
|
42 |
51 |
37 |
14 |
|
Crime |
|
25 |
22 |
30 |
-8 |
|
Education |
|
68 |
80 |
61 |
19 |
|
Taxes |
|
25 |
23 |
28 |
-5 |
|
Deficit |
|
61 |
55 |
64 |
-9 |
|
Education |
|
45 |
54 |
36 |
18 |
|
Seniors |
|
40 |
58 |
31 |
27 |
|
Govt efficient |
|
30 |
25 |
36 |
-11 |
|
Taxes |
|
31 |
14 |
40 |
-26 |
|
Transportation |
|
9 |
8 |
9 |
-1 |
|
Affirm
Action |
|
18 |
30 |
12 |
18 |
|
Economy |
|
20 |
19 |
23 |
-4 |
|
Environment |
|
36 |
61 |
23 |
38 |
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Works well with people |
14 |
15 |
12 |
3 |
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Experience |
|
49 |
51 |
47 |
4 |
|
Managing growth |
|
17 |
16 |
18 |
-2 |
|
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Factors
Affecting Vote - Gov |
|
|
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Factors Affecting Vote -
County Exec |
|
Candidate
not extreme |
38 |
33 |
40 |
-7 |
|
Candidate not extreme |
24 |
32 |
17 |
15 |
|
Lesser
of evils |
|
32 |
34 |
31 |
3 |
|
Lesser of evils |
|
17 |
10 |
25 |
-15 |
|
Integrity
and honesty |
52 |
52 |
53 |
-1 |
|
Integrity and honesty |
34 |
41 |
27 |
14 |
|
Agree
with issues |
55 |
57 |
53 |
4 |
|
Agree with issues |
24 |
25 |
26 |
-1 |
|
Right
experience |
|
44 |
48 |
42 |
6 |
|
Right experience |
|
24 |
31 |
17 |
14 |
|
Respects
other people |
45 |
48 |
42 |
6 |
|
Respects other people |
20 |
29 |
12 |
17 |
|
I
am well informed |
51 |
47 |
53 |
-6 |
|
I am well informed |
24 |
29 |
20 |
9 |
|
My
political party |
|
43 |
59 |
34 |
25 |
|
My political party |
|
24 |
28 |
21 |
7 |
|
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County Executive Voting
Influences |
|
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Came to door |
|
6 |
3 |
8 |
-5 |
|
|
Newspaper endorsed |
6 |
9 |
4 |
5 |
|
Neall-Greenip
in 33A |
(N=48) |
|
|
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Person/group endorsed |
21 |
18 |
26 |
-8 |
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Newspaper story |
|
21 |
23 |
19 |
4 |
|
PARTY
REGISTRATION |
Overall |
Neall |
Greenip |
O-B |
|
TV ads |
|
12 |
12 |
11 |
1 |
|
Democrat |
|
28 |
51 |
13 |
38 |
|
Newspaper ads |
|
6 |
6 |
7 |
-1 |
|
Republican |
|
62 |
37 |
80 |
-43 |
|
Direct mail |
|
18 |
15 |
21 |
-6 |
|
Independent |
|
10 |
12 |
7 |
5 |
|
Internet info |
|
6 |
2 |
8 |
-6 |
|
Other |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Candidate signs |
|
6 |
6 |
6 |
0 |
|
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Candidate spoke at forum |
18 |
15 |
22 |
-7 |
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PARTY
Identity |
|
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Conversations |
|
26 |
22 |
32 |
-10 |
|
Strong
Dem |
|
20 |
41 |
7 |
34 |
|
Personally knew candidate |
5 |
7 |
4 |
3 |
|
Weak
Dem |
|
11 |
18 |
3 |
15 |
|
|
Neutral |
|
10 |
8 |
11 |
-3 |
|
|
Weak
Rep |
|
15 |
8 |
18 |
-10 |
|
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Strong
Rep |
|
46 |
25 |
62 |
-37 |
|
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Gender |
|
|
|
Female |
|
62 |
48 |
73 |
-25 |
|
|
Male |
|
|
38 |
52 |
27 |
25 |
|
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Nov 5, 2002 Exit Poll
Demographics |
|
|
Demographics |
|
Overall |
Townsend |
Ehrlich |
O-B |
|
Demographics |
|
Overall |
Owens |
Bissett |
O-B |
|
Gender |
|
Gender |
|
Female |
|
55 |
66 |
48 |
18 |
|
Female |
|
55 |
57 |
51 |
6 |
|
Male |
|
45 |
34 |
52 |
-18 |
|
Male |
|
45 |
43 |
49 |
-6 |
|
Age |
|
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Age |
|
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|
18-29 |
|
10 |
7 |
11 |
-4 |
|
18-29 |
|
10 |
8 |
13 |
-5 |
|
30-44 |
|
27 |
25 |
27 |
-2 |
|
30-44 |
|
27 |
20 |
34 |
-14 |
|
45-59 |
|
37 |
36 |
38 |
-2 |
|
45-59 |
|
37 |
40 |
34 |
6 |
|
60+ |
|
26 |
32 |
23 |
9 |
|
60+ |
|
26 |
32 |
20 |
12 |
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Race |
|
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Race |
|
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African-Am |
|
11 |
26 |
2 |
24 |
|
African-Am |
|
11 |
18 |
1 |
17 |
|
Caucasian |
|
86 |
70 |
96 |
-26 |
|
Caucasian |
|
86 |
80 |
94 |
-14 |
|
Hispanic/Asian |
|
2 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
|
Hispanic/Asian |
|
2 |
1 |
5 |
-4 |
|
Other |
|
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Other |
|
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
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Ideology |
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Ideology |
|
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Conservative |
|
40 |
15 |
53 |
-38 |
|
Conservative |
|
40 |
27 |
54 |
-27 |
|
Liberal |
|
18 |
42 |
4 |
38 |
|
Liberal |
|
18 |
28 |
5 |
23 |
|
Moderate |
|
39 |
41 |
38 |
3 |
|
Moderate |
|
39 |
41 |
38 |
3 |
|
Other |
|
4 |
3 |
5 |
-2 |
|
Other |
|
4 |
4 |
0 |
4 |
|
Education |
|
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Education |
|
|
|
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HS
degree or less |
16 |
20 |
14 |
6 |
|
HS degree or less |
16 |
16 |
16 |
0 |
|
Some
college |
|
31 |
23 |
35 |
-12 |
|
Some college |
|
31 |
24 |
37 |
-13 |
|
Bachelor's
degree |
22 |
27 |
20 |
7 |
|
Bachelor's degree |
22 |
18 |
27 |
-9 |
|
Postgraduate
work |
31 |
30 |
31 |
-1 |
|
Postgraduate work |
31 |
41 |
19 |
22 |
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Income |
|
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Income |
|
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Under
$40k |
|
20 |
23 |
19 |
4 |
|
Under $40k |
|
20 |
20 |
20 |
0 |
|
40-60 |
|
16 |
20 |
14 |
6 |
|
40-60 |
|
16 |
15 |
18 |
-3 |
|
60-85 |
|
17 |
24 |
13 |
11 |
|
60-85 |
|
17 |
20 |
14 |
6 |
|
85+ |
|
46 |
33 |
54 |
-21 |
|
85+ |
|
46 |
44 |
48 |
-4 |
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